Indeterminacy in Foreign Exchange Markets

نویسندگان

  • MICHELE PASQUINI
  • Michele Pasquini
  • Maurizio Serva
چکیده

We discuss price variations distributions in foreign exchange markets, characterizing them both in calendar and business time frameworks. The price dynamics is found to be the result of two distinct processes, a multi-variance diffusion and an error process. The presence of the latter, which dominates at short time scales, leads to indeterminacy principle in finance. Furthermore, dynamics does not allow for a scheme based on independent probability distributions, since volatility exhibits a strong correlation even at the shortest time scales.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Determinacy and Indeterminacy of Equilibria

This essay discusses work on the determinacy and indeterminacy of equilibrium in models of competitive markets. Determinacy typically refers to situations in which equilibria are finite in number, and local comparative statics can be precisely described. This essay describes basic results on generic determinacy for exchange economies and the general underlying principles, together with various ...

متن کامل

Indeterminacy of equilibrium allocations in monetary open economies 1

In an open economy, outside money in positive supply does not eliminate the real indeterminacy which arises under uncertainty and incomplete asset markets. If money supply is subject to shocks or is not perfectly credible in all countries, the level of a fixed exchange rate matters. Analogous results obtain in cash in advance models.

متن کامل

Investigating Cointegration and the Causal Relationship Between of Exchange Rate, Oil Price and Gas Price in Regional Markets

Short-term and long-term relationship between exchange rate, oil price and spot gas price of three regional gas markets was investigated using and estimating the Vector Autoregressive model. There is a significant and long-term relationship between variables.Short-term interactions of variables with Granger causality test One-year interaction of variables with intervals of one to twelve months ...

متن کامل

A hybrid computational intelligence model for foreign exchange rate forecasting

Computational intelligence approaches have gradually established themselves as a popular tool for forecasting the complicated financial markets. Forecasting accuracy is one of the most important features of forecasting models; hence, never has research directed at improving upon the effectiveness of time series models stopped. Nowadays, despite the numerous time series forecasting models propos...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2002